Greg's Opinion Greg's big blog of whatnot

20Aug/120

Primary Mapping: Dem CD7

Here's a muddled picture since all three candidates came out of the first round with a decent-to-good showing.

Lissa Squiers - 39.9%
James Cargas - 33.8%
Phillip Andrews - 26.3%

I went with color-coding for the ultimate winner again, so the coding is: dark blue = Cargas; light blue = Squiers; purple = Andrews.

There weren't many areas where Squiers was winning a majority in this map, so the ocean of aqua blue is a bit misleading here. Had I been interpreting this in realtime, I think it's safe to say she was getting her benefit of being the only female in the race at this point. Viewed in isolation, that might make a runoff either a tossup or a slight advantage for the female candidate. But with Squiers running a shoestring campaign and Cargas loosening the purse-strings for a little mail in the runoff, that calculus didn't quite hold up in July.


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