» Examiner: Cohen ponders run for City Council
A poorly-kept secret, here. Usually, when politicians say that people are encouraging them to look at running for an office, it's a lie. With Cohen, it's believable.
I would suspect that redistricting at the State House level will lead to the mapmakers trying to make Sarah Davis' seat safer for her and that would be enough to make it a prohibitively favorable Republican seat. So the odds of seeing another State Rep seat appeal to Ellen Cohen seems remote.
That leaves City Hall if she's still looking. In Kuff's overview of upcoming 2011 elections, the only "for sure" At Large seat would be Sue Lovell's current seat. There's already a decent-sized line for that seat - maybe not enough to scare off Ellen, but enough to mean she'd have to work a bit harder for it than she might elsewhere. Everything that I've heard has revolved around Ellen running for District C, which strikes me as odd in a redistricting year. For one, it's not clear what District C will be yet. Despite the proximateness of both Ellen's and Oliver Pennington's residences (see map below), there's a good shot that Ellen would be in some formation of either a "new C" or a "new Montrose/Heights" district and not paired with Pennington in the "new G". That should favor her for a district seat and since she's establishing herself as being at the front of the line, it would take a lot of hubris to think you're going to defeat her in November.